By John Gittelsohn Apr 28, 2014 4:10 PM CT
Source: Bloomberg
The U.S. homeownership rate may fall to as low as 55 percent because more Americans are choosing to rent as they postpone getting married and having children, said Sam Zell, chairman of landlord Equity Residential.
Demographic and lifestyle changes, more than economic factors, are driving down the ownership rate over the long term, Zell said today at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills,California. As of 2010, about 54 percent of adults were married, down from 57 percent a decade earlier, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
“The deferral of marriage has such a staggering impact on real estate and I just don’t think people focus on it,” said Zell, 72, whose Chicago-based Equity Residential is the largest U.S. apartment landlord. “I don’t think the multifamily market has ever had a better set of future demographics.”
The homeownership rate fell to 65.2 percent at the end of last year from a peak of 69.2 percent in 2004 after owners of about 5 million homes lost their properties to foreclosure and tight lending made homes harder to buy. The Commerce Department reports the rate for the first quarter tomorrow.
The median age of marriage rose to 28.2 for men and 26.1 for women in 2010, up 1.4 years for men and 1 year for women from a decade earlier, continuing a trend of later wedlock that dates back to 1950, Census Bureau data show.
Zell also cited reports of a growing number of women freezing their eggs to postpone having children while they pursue their careers, a delay that will further reduce demand for single-family homes, he said.
Equity Residential (EQR) owns or has investments in about 110,000 multifamily units. Of the 18,000 rental apartments the company has in New York, 45 percent are occupied by a single person, Zell said.
“It’s happening all over the country,” he said.
To contact the reporter on this story: John Gittelsohn in Los Angeles at johngitt@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Kara Wetzel at kwetzel@bloomberg.net Daniel Taub